Miami has allowed seven offensive TDs this year and five of them have come on the one- or two-yard line. We're playing this until it goes below +200. The Dolphins are allowing TDs in the red zone at a 64% clip, which is also a Bottom-10 mark. Murray is ahead of Damien Harris on the pecking order, sees a lot of his snaps near the goal line, and will face a Miami Dolphins defense that have given up 71 points on the season - ranking in the bottom half of the league. Through three games, Murray has eight total red-zone touches to Cook’s five. Meanwhile, lead back James Cook saw his first carry of the season inside the five last week that was stuffed. On the season, Murray is tied for third in the league with four carries inside the five-yard line, where he has scored two times and also caught one pass. Getting the red zone back for this price on a home team that’s favored with a 53.5-point total is flat-out robbery. I hit Latavius Murray for a touchdown at +320 last week, and with the Buffalo Bills goal-line back’s price dipping just a little to +290, there is no reason to get off this cash cow.įirst off, it’s the week’s highest-total game at 53.5 and points are going to be scored in Orchard Park.